Champions League (Europe) · Wed, Feb 19 · 20:00 · Paris Saint Germain vs Brest
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 61%
A tight one: we make it 61% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris Saint Germain61%——
OursMarket
Draw18%——
OursMarket
Brest19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris Saint Germain
WinWinWinWinWin
- Feb 15 · at Toulouse (A)1-0
- Feb 11 · at Brest (A)3-0
- Feb 7 · v Monaco (H)4-1
- Feb 4 · at Le Mans (A)2-0
- Feb 1 · at Brest (A)5-2
Brest
LossWinWinLossDraw
- Feb 14 · v Auxerre (H)2-2
- Feb 11 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
- Feb 7 · at Nantes (A)2-0
- Feb 4 · at Troyes (A)2-1
- Feb 1 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)2-5
| Last 10 games | Paris Saint Germain | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-1-0 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.