Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Mar 1 · 20:05 · Paris Saint Germain vs LOSC Lille
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris Saint Germain51%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
LOSC Lille27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris Saint Germain
WinWinWinWinWin
- Feb 26 · at Stade Briochin (A)7-0
- Feb 23 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)3-2
- Feb 19 · v Brest (H)7-0
- Feb 15 · at Toulouse (A)1-0
- Feb 11 · at Brest (A)3-0
LOSC Lille
WinWinLossWinWin
- Feb 22 · v Monaco (H)2-1
- Feb 16 · at Rennes (A)2-0
- Feb 8 · v Le Havre (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Saint-Étienne (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Feyenoord (H)6-1
| Last 10 games | Paris Saint Germain | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-1-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.7 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Paris Saint Germain form·LOSC Lille form·Head-to-head record