Ligue 1 (France) · Fri, Feb 7 · 20:05 · Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris Saint Germain59%——
OursMarket
Draw18%——
OursMarket
Monaco22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 40% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris Saint Germain
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Feb 4 · at Le Mans (A)2-0
- Feb 1 · at Brest (A)5-2
- Jan 29 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)4-1
- Jan 25 · v Reims (H)1-1
- Jan 22 · v Manchester City (H)4-2
Monaco
LossWinWinLossWin
- Feb 1 · v Auxerre (H)4-2
- Jan 29 · at Inter (A)0-3
- Jan 25 · v Rennes (H)3-2
- Jan 21 · v Aston Villa (H)1-0
- Jan 17 · at Montpellier (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Paris Saint Germain | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.