Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Nov 1 · 16:00 · Paris Saint Germain vs Nice
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris Saint Germain64%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Nice17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris Saint Germain
DrawDrawWinWinDraw
- Oct 29 · at Lorient (A)1-1
- Oct 25 · at Brest (A)3-0
- Oct 21 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)7-2
- Oct 17 · v Strasbourg (H)3-3
- Oct 5 · at LOSC Lille (A)1-1
Nice
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Oct 29 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-0
- Oct 26 · at Rennes (A)2-1
- Oct 23 · at Celta de Vigo (A)1-2
- Oct 18 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-2
- Oct 5 · at Monaco (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Paris Saint Germain | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-1-1 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.