Ligue 2 (France) · Sat, Mar 8 · 13:00 · Paris vs Lorient
Likeliest: Paris win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris55%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Lorient20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris
WinWinLossWinWin
- Feb 28 · at Annecy (A)3-2
- Feb 21 · v Troyes (H)1-0
- Feb 15 · at Dunkerque (A)0-1
- Feb 7 · v Pau (H)3-1
- Feb 1 · at Guingamp (A)1-0
Lorient
WinWinWinLossWin
- Mar 1 · v Rodez (H)3-1
- Feb 22 · v Laval (H)0-1
- Feb 14 · at Troyes (A)1-0
- Feb 8 · v Amiens SC (H)3-1
- Feb 1 · at Red Star (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Paris | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-3 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-1 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.