Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Nov 2 · 17:00 · Parma vs Bologna
Likeliest: Bologna win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Parma36%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Bologna38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Parma
WinLossDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 29 · at Roma (A)1-2
- Oct 25 · v Como (H)0-0
- Oct 19 · at Genoa (A)0-0
- Oct 4 · v Lecce (H)0-1
- Sep 29 · v Torino (H)2-1
Bologna
WinWinWinDrawDraw
- Oct 29 · v Torino (H)0-0
- Oct 26 · at Fiorentina (A)2-2
- Oct 23 · at FCSB (A)2-1
- Oct 19 · at Cagliari (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · v Pisa (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Parma | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.