Serie A (Italy) · Fri, Jan 31 · 19:45 · Parma vs Lecce
Likeliest: Parma win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Parma55%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Lecce16%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 84% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Parma
DrawLossDrawLoss
- Jan 26 · at Milan (A)2-3
- Jan 19 · v Venezia (H)1-1
- Jan 12 · at Genoa (A)0-1
- Jan 5 · at Torino (A)0-0
Lecce
DrawWinLossLoss
- Jan 26 · v Inter (H)0-4
- Jan 19 · at Cagliari (A)1-4
- Jan 11 · at Empoli (A)3-1
- Jan 5 · v Genoa (H)0-0