Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 16 · 17:00 · Parma vs Roma
Likeliest: Roma win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Parma32%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Roma36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Parma
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Feb 9 · at Cagliari (A)1-2
- Jan 31 · v Lecce (H)1-3
- Jan 26 · at Milan (A)2-3
- Jan 19 · v Venezia (H)1-1
- Jan 12 · at Genoa (A)0-1
Roma
WinDrawLossWinDraw
- Feb 13 · at Porto (A)1-1
- Feb 9 · at Venezia (A)1-0
- Feb 5 · at Milan (A)1-3
- Feb 2 · v Napoli (H)1-1
- Jan 30 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Parma | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.