Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Mar 8 · 14:00 · Parma vs Torino
Likeliest: Parma win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Parma41%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Torino28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Parma
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Mar 1 · at Udinese (A)0-1
- Feb 22 · v Bologna (H)2-0
- Feb 16 · v Roma (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at Cagliari (A)1-2
- Jan 31 · v Lecce (H)1-3
Torino
DrawDrawLossWinWin
- Mar 2 · at Monza (A)2-0
- Feb 22 · v Milan (H)2-1
- Feb 14 · at Bologna (A)2-3
- Feb 8 · v Genoa (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Parma | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-6 | 3-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.