Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Fri, Aug 28 · 15:30 · Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
Likeliest: Paykan win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paykan46%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Esteghlal Khuzestan28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paykan
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Aug 24 · at Kheybar Khorramabad FC (A)3-2
- Aug 18 · v Gol Gohar Sirjan (H)0-0
- Aug 14 · at Tractor FC (A)0-2
- Feb 27 · v Sepahan (H)0-0
- Feb 20 · at Aluminium Arak (A)1-1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
WinLossLossLossDraw
- Aug 23 · v Nassaji Mazandaran FC (H)1-1
- Aug 19 · at Persepolis FC (A)1-4
- Aug 14 · v Aluminium Arak (H)0-2
- Feb 23 · at Sepahan (A)1-3
- Feb 13 · v Fajr Sepasi (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Paykan | Esteghlal Khuzestan |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.