Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Mar 9 · 13:30 · PEC Zwolle vs Ajax
Likeliest: PEC Zwolle win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
PEC Zwolle39%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Ajax36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
PEC Zwolle
WinDrawLossDrawLoss
- Mar 2 · at Heracles Almelo (A)2-4
- Feb 16 · v SC Heerenveen (H)1-1
- Feb 9 · at AZ (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · v FC Utrecht (H)3-3
- Jan 26 · at Fortuna Sittard (A)4-1
Ajax
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Mar 6 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-2
- Mar 2 · at Almere City (A)1-0
- Feb 23 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)2-0
- Feb 16 · v Heracles Almelo (H)4-0
- Feb 13 · at Union Saint-Gilloise (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | PEC Zwolle | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-3 | 8-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.