Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Nov 8 · 20:00 · PEC Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam
Likeliest: PEC Zwolle win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
PEC Zwolle43%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Sparta Rotterdam29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
PEC Zwolle
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Nov 2 · at Heracles Almelo (A)2-8
- Oct 28 · at Helmond Sport (A)4-1
- Oct 25 · v NEC Nijmegen (H)2-2
- Oct 18 · at NAC Breda (A)2-2
- Oct 4 · v PSV (H)0-4
Sparta Rotterdam
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Nov 2 · v AZ (H)0-1
- Oct 30 · v FC Groningen (H)5-2
- Oct 25 · v Telstar (H)1-0
- Oct 19 · at FC Groningen (A)2-0
- Oct 4 · v Ajax (H)3-3
| Last 10 games | PEC Zwolle | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-6 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.