Serie A (Italy) · Fri, Nov 7 · 19:45 · Pisa vs Cremonese

    Likeliest: Cremonese win · 39%

    A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Pisa38%——
    OursMarket
    Draw23%——
    OursMarket
    Cremonese39%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals59%——
    Double chance 1X61%——
    Double chance X262%——
    Double chance 1277%——
    Draw no bet (home)49%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Pisa
    LossDrawDrawDrawDraw
    • Nov 2 · at Torino (A)2-2
    • Oct 30 · v Lazio (H)0-0
    • Oct 24 · at Milan (A)2-2
    • Oct 18 · v Hellas Verona (H)0-0
    • Oct 5 · at Bologna (A)0-4
    Cremonese
    LossDrawDrawWinLoss
    • Nov 1 · v Juventus (H)1-2
    • Oct 29 · at Genoa (A)2-0
    • Oct 25 · v Atalanta (H)1-1
    • Oct 20 · v Udinese (H)1-1
    • Oct 4 · at Inter (A)1-4
    Last 10 gamesPisaCremonese
    Won-drawn-lost0-5-53-5-2
    Goals scored a game0.61.2
    Goals conceded a game1.41.2
    Over 2.5 goals40%40%
    Both teams scored30%70%
    Clean sheets30%30%
    Last 10 at this venue3-4-34-3-3

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Pisa form·Cremonese form·Head-to-head record

    Every match we have priced today