Serie A (Italy) · Thu, Oct 30 · 19:45 · Pisa vs Lazio
Likeliest: Pisa win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Pisa46%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Lazio29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Pisa
LossDrawLossDrawDraw
- Oct 24 · at Milan (A)2-2
- Oct 18 · v Hellas Verona (H)0-0
- Oct 5 · at Bologna (A)0-4
- Sep 28 · v Fiorentina (H)0-0
- Sep 25 · at Torino (A)0-1
Lazio
LossWinDrawDrawWin
- Oct 26 · v Juventus (H)1-0
- Oct 19 · at Atalanta (A)0-0
- Oct 5 · v Torino (H)3-3
- Sep 29 · at Genoa (A)3-0
- Sep 21 · v Roma (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Pisa | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.