Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 22 · 12:30 · Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City
Likeliest: Plymouth Argyle win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Plymouth Argyle48%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Cardiff City27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Plymouth Argyle
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Feb 19 · at Luton Town (A)1-1
- Feb 15 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-2
- Feb 12 · v Millwall (H)5-1
- Feb 9 · v Liverpool (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-1
Cardiff City
DrawWinLossLossDraw
- Feb 15 · v Bristol City (H)1-1
- Feb 11 · at Portsmouth (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · at Leeds United (A)0-7
- Jan 25 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Jan 21 · at Millwall (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Plymouth Argyle | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 3-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-2 | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.