Premier Division (South Africa) · Sat, Sep 19 · 15:30 · Polokwane City vs AmaZulu FC
Likeliest: draw · 37%
We make it 47% for both teams to score. The market says 42%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Polokwane City28%31%−4
OursMarket
Draw37%33%+4
OursMarket
AmaZulu FC35%35%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 47% | 42% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | 69% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 63% | 67% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 44% | 47% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Polokwane City
DrawLossDrawDrawDraw
- Sep 12 · v Kaizer Chiefs (H)1-1
- Sep 4 · at Marumo Gallants FC (A)2-2
- Aug 26 · v Milford FC (H)0-0
- Aug 15 · at Sekhukhune United (A)0-2
- Aug 11 · v Stellenbosch (H)3-3
AmaZulu FC
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Sep 12 · v Marumo Gallants FC (H)1-0
- Sep 4 · at Richards Bay FC (A)2-1
- Aug 26 · at Mamelodi Sundowns (A)2-5
- Aug 15 · v Siwelele FC (H)2-0
- Aug 12 · v Orlando Pirates (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Polokwane City | AmaZulu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-7-2 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-6-3 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.