Championship (England) · Tue, Feb 11 · 19:45 · Portsmouth vs Cardiff City
Likeliest: Portsmouth win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Portsmouth49%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Cardiff City24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Portsmouth
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Feb 8 · at Sheffield United (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Burnley (H)0-0
- Jan 28 · v Millwall (H)0-1
- Jan 25 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-5
- Jan 22 · v Stoke City (H)3-1
Cardiff City
DrawWinDrawWinLoss
- Feb 1 · at Leeds United (A)0-7
- Jan 25 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Jan 21 · at Millwall (A)2-2
- Jan 18 · v Swansea City (H)3-0
- Jan 14 · v Watford (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Portsmouth | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 3-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.