Championship (England) · Tue, Jan 28 · 19:45 · Portsmouth vs Millwall
Likeliest: Portsmouth win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Portsmouth52%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Millwall23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Portsmouth
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Jan 25 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-5
- Jan 22 · v Stoke City (H)3-1
- Jan 18 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Jan 15 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-3
- Jan 10 · at Wycombe Wanderers (A)0-2
Millwall
DrawWinLossDrawWin
- Jan 25 · at Luton Town (A)1-0
- Jan 21 · v Cardiff City (H)2-2
- Jan 18 · v Hull City (H)0-1
- Jan 13 · v Dagenham & Redbridge (H)3-0
- Jan 4 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Portsmouth | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-4 | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.