Championship (England) · Wed, Jan 22 · 19:45 · Portsmouth vs Stoke City
Likeliest: Portsmouth win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Portsmouth55%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Stoke City20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Portsmouth
WinLossLossLossWin
- Jan 18 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Jan 15 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-3
- Jan 10 · at Wycombe Wanderers (A)0-2
- Jan 5 · at Sunderland (A)0-1
- Jan 1 · v Swansea City (H)4-0
Stoke City
DrawDrawDraw
- Jan 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Jan 4 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-0
- Jan 1 · at Burnley (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Portsmouth | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-3 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 20% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.