Championship (England) · Sat, Sep 5 · 11:30 · Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 38%
We make it 54% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 48%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Preston North End37%39%−2
OursMarket
Draw25%29%−3
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers38%33%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 48% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 42% | 53% | −11 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 67% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 71% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 54% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Preston North End
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 1 · v Bristol City (H)1-3
- Aug 29 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-1
- Aug 26 · v Everton (H)0-4
- Aug 22 · v Wolverhampton (H)1-3
- Aug 15 · at Bolton Wanderers (A)1-2
Blackburn Rovers
DrawWinLossLossDraw
- Sep 1 · at Lincoln City (A)0-0
- Aug 29 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-2
- Aug 25 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
- Aug 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Aug 14 · at Wolverhampton (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Preston North End | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-8 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-7 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Preston North End form·Blackburn Rovers form·Head-to-head record