Championship (England) · Tue, Dec 9 · 19:45 · Preston North End vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Preston North End win · 37%
A 37% home win. The market says 26%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Preston North End37%26%+11
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
Coventry City36%48%−12
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 52% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 52% | +12 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 74% | −11 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 35% | +16 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Preston North End
DrawLossDrawWinDraw
- Dec 6 · v Wrexham (H)1-1
- Nov 29 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)3-2
- Nov 25 · at Watford (A)1-1
- Nov 21 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)1-2
- Nov 8 · at Millwall (A)1-1
Coventry City
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Dec 6 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-3
- Nov 29 · v Charlton Athletic (H)3-1
- Nov 25 · at Middlesbrough (A)4-2
- Nov 22 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-2
- Nov 8 · at Stoke City (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Preston North End | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 8-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Preston North End form·Coventry City form·Head-to-head record