EFL Cup (England) · Sat, Aug 8 · 14:00 · Preston North End vs Huddersfield Town
Likeliest: Preston North End win · 42%
We make it 51% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 44%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Preston North End42%42%−1
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
Huddersfield Town32%32%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 58% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 68% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 57% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Preston North End
WinLossLossWinLoss
- May 2 · v Southampton (H)1-3
- Apr 25 · at Sheffield United (A)3-2
- Apr 22 · at Birmingham City (A)1-2
- Apr 18 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)0-2
- Apr 11 · at Charlton Athletic (A)2-1
Huddersfield Town
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- May 2 · at AFC Wimbledon (A)4-0
- Apr 25 · v Mansfield Town (H)1-4
- Apr 18 · at Bolton Wanderers (A)3-3
- Apr 14 · v Cardiff City (H)1-1
- Apr 11 · v Wycombe Wanderers (H)3-3
| Last 10 games | Preston North End | Huddersfield Town |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.