Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 20 · 12:30 · Preston North End vs Norwich City
Likeliest: Preston North End win · 49%
A 49% home win. The market says 42%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Preston North End49%42%+7
OursMarket
Draw24%27%−3
OursMarket
Norwich City27%30%−4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 51% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 70% | +4 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 58% | −7 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 73% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 58% | +7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Preston North End
DrawWinDrawDrawWin
- Dec 13 · at Oxford United (A)2-1
- Dec 9 · v Coventry City (H)1-1
- Dec 6 · v Wrexham (H)1-1
- Nov 29 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)3-2
- Nov 25 · at Watford (A)1-1
Norwich City
DrawWinLossDrawWin
- Dec 13 · v Southampton (H)2-1
- Dec 9 · at Sheffield United (A)1-1
- Dec 6 · at Watford (A)2-3
- Nov 29 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)3-1
- Nov 25 · v Oxford United (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Preston North End | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-4-1 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Preston North End form·Norwich City form·Head-to-head record