Championship (England) · Wed, Nov 5 · 19:45 · Preston North End vs Swansea City

    Likeliest: Preston North End win · 44%

    A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Preston North End44%——
    OursMarket
    Draw24%——
    OursMarket
    Swansea City32%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals62%——
    Double chance 1X68%——
    Double chance X256%——
    Double chance 1276%——
    Draw no bet (home)58%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Preston North End
    WinLossLossWinWin
    • Nov 1 · at Southampton (A)2-0
    • Oct 24 · v Sheffield United (H)3-2
    • Oct 21 · v Birmingham City (H)0-1
    • Oct 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-2
    • Oct 4 · v Charlton Athletic (H)2-0
    Swansea City
    DrawLossWinLossDraw
    • Nov 1 · at Charlton Athletic (A)1-1
    • Oct 29 · v Manchester City (H)1-3
    • Oct 25 · v Norwich City (H)2-1
    • Oct 22 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)0-1
    • Oct 18 · at Southampton (A)0-0
    Last 10 gamesPreston North EndSwansea City
    Won-drawn-lost4-3-33-3-4
    Goals scored a game1.31.1
    Goals conceded a game1.01.4
    Over 2.5 goals40%50%
    Both teams scored40%70%
    Clean sheets40%10%
    Last 10 at this venue4-2-44-3-3

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Preston North End form·Swansea City form·Head-to-head record

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