Championship (England) · Sat, Apr 18 · 14:00 · Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Preston North End win · 47%
A 47% home win. The market says 27%.
20 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Preston North End47%27%+20
OursMarket
Draw26%29%−3
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion28%44%−17
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 45% | +1 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 50% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 56% | +17 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 73% | −20 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 71% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 38% | +25 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Preston North End
LossWinDrawDrawWin
- Apr 11 · at Charlton Athletic (A)2-1
- Apr 6 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-1
- Apr 3 · at Leicester City (A)2-2
- Mar 20 · v Stoke City (H)3-1
- Mar 14 · at Norwich City (A)0-2
West Bromwich Albion
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Apr 10 · v Millwall (H)0-0
- Apr 6 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-0
- Apr 3 · v Wrexham (H)2-2
- Mar 21 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Mar 14 · v Hull City (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | Preston North End | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 1-5-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Preston North End form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record