Championship (England) · Sat, Oct 24 · 14:00 · Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 50%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 50% for the away win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Preston North End22%26%−4
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion50%48%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 52% | 51% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 50% | 52% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 78% | 74% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 30% | 35% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Preston North End
LossDrawDrawLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Wrexham (A)1-4
- Oct 13 · at Birmingham City (A)0-4
- Oct 10 · v Millwall (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v Lincoln City (H)0-1
West Bromwich Albion
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)3-2
- Oct 13 · at Wrexham (A)2-1
- Oct 10 · v Birmingham City (H)0-1
- Sep 20 · at Wolverhampton (A)0-1
- Sep 12 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Preston North End | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-3-6 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Preston North End form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record