Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Feb 15 · 15:30 · PSV vs FC Utrecht
Likeliest: PSV win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
PSV52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
FC Utrecht24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
PSV
WinDrawWinDrawLoss
- Feb 11 · at Juventus (A)1-2
- Feb 8 · v Willem II (H)1-1
- Feb 5 · v Feyenoord (H)2-0
- Feb 1 · at NEC Nijmegen (A)3-3
- Jan 29 · v Liverpool (H)3-2
FC Utrecht
DrawDrawDrawLossLoss
- Feb 9 · v Almere City (H)0-1
- Feb 4 · at Heracles Almelo (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at PEC Zwolle (A)3-3
- Jan 24 · at Heracles Almelo (A)1-1
- Jan 18 · v AZ (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | PSV | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-2 | 2-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.