KNVB Beker (Netherlands) · Wed, Feb 5 · 17:45 · PSV vs Feyenoord
Likeliest: PSV win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
PSV49%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Feyenoord27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
PSV
LossWinWinWinDraw
- Feb 1 · at NEC Nijmegen (A)3-3
- Jan 29 · v Liverpool (H)3-2
- Jan 25 · v NAC Breda (H)3-2
- Jan 21 · at Crvena Zvezda (A)3-2
- Jan 18 · at PEC Zwolle (A)1-3
Feyenoord
WinDrawWinLossLoss
- Feb 2 · at Ajax (A)1-2
- Jan 29 · at LOSC Lille (A)1-6
- Jan 22 · v FC Bayern München (H)3-0
- Jan 18 · at Willem II (A)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Rijnsburgse Boys (A)4-1
| Last 10 games | PSV | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-1 | 2-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.