Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Fri, Oct 31 · 19:00 · PSV vs Fortuna Sittard
Likeliest: PSV win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
PSV64%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Fortuna Sittard17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
PSV
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Oct 26 · at Feyenoord (A)3-2
- Oct 21 · v Napoli (H)6-2
- Oct 18 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at PEC Zwolle (A)4-0
- Oct 1 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-1
Fortuna Sittard
LossWinLossLossWin
- Oct 28 · at Gemert (A)1-0
- Oct 25 · v FC Groningen (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · at Excelsior (A)0-1
- Oct 4 · v FC Volendam (H)1-0
- Sep 26 · at FC Twente (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | PSV | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.