Premier League (Egypt) · Mon, Oct 12 · 17:00 · Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Likeliest: Pyramids FC win · 61%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 61% for the home win. The market says 60%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Pyramids FC61%60%+1
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Ceramica Cleopatra15%17%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 48% | 45% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | 83% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 39% | 40% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 80% | 78% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Pyramids FC
WinWinWinWinWin
- Sep 16 · at ENPPI (A)2-1
- Sep 13 · v Gor Mahia FC (H)5-1
- Sep 9 · v El Gouna FC (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Gor Mahia FC (A)2-0
- Aug 31 · at Al-Masry (A)1-0
Ceramica Cleopatra
LossWinWinWinWin
- Sep 14 · v National Bank of Egypt (H)2-0
- Sep 8 · at Smouha (A)2-0
- Sep 2 · v Modern Sport FC (H)2-0
- Aug 28 · at Al-Ittihad Alexandria (A)3-1
- Aug 23 · v Canal SC (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Pyramids FC | Ceramica Cleopatra |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-1-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.