Stars League (Qatar) · Fri, Oct 9 · 14:45 · Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan
Likeliest: Al-Rayyan win · 65%
Likely score: 1–2
We make it 63% for both teams to score. The market says 59%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Qatar SC14%18%−4
OursMarket
Draw21%21%0
OursMarket
Al-Rayyan65%62%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 35% | 38% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 86% | 82% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 18% | 22% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Qatar SC
LossDrawLossLossDraw
- Sep 12 · at Al-Arabi SC (A)0-0
- Sep 3 · at Al-Ahli Doha (A)0-1
- Aug 28 · v Al-Sadd (H)2-6
- Aug 20 · at Al-Wakrah (A)2-2
- Apr 27 · v Al Duhail (H)1-2
Al-Rayyan
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Sep 16 · v Al Faisaly SC (H)4-3
- Sep 11 · v Al-Ahli Doha (H)3-0
- Sep 5 · v Al Duhail (H)1-1
- Aug 27 · at Al-Wakrah (A)2-1
- Aug 20 · v Lusail SC (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Qatar SC | Al-Rayyan |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-1-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.