Championship (Scotland) · Sat, Oct 24 · 14:00 · Queen's Park FC vs Dunfermline Athletic
Likeliest: Dunfermline Athletic win · 60%
We make it 52% for both teams to score. The market says 46%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queen's Park FC13%18%−5
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+2
OursMarket
Dunfermline Athletic60%57%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 48% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 52% | 46% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 40% | 43% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 87% | 82% | +5 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 18% | 24% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 0.6 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queen's Park FC
LossDrawLossWinDraw
- Oct 17 · at Greenock Morton (A)0-0
- Oct 13 · v Inverness Caledonian Thistle (H)2-1
- Oct 10 · at Raith Rovers (A)0-2
- Sep 25 · at Arbroath (A)0-0
- Sep 18 · v Ayr United (H)0-2
Dunfermline Athletic
DrawWinWinDrawDraw
- Oct 17 · v Livingston (H)0-0
- Oct 10 · at Ayr United (A)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Greenock Morton (A)1-0
- Sep 12 · v Queen's Park FC (H)2-0
- Sep 5 · at Arbroath (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Queen's Park FC | Dunfermline Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 3-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | 1-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.