Championship (England) · Tue, Dec 9 · 20:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham City
Likeliest: Birmingham City win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. The market says 39%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers37%33%+4
OursMarket
Draw25%28%−3
OursMarket
Birmingham City38%39%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 49% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 61% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 67% | −4 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 46% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Dec 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-1
- Nov 29 · at Norwich City (A)1-3
- Nov 26 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-0
- Nov 22 · v Hull City (H)3-2
- Nov 8 · at Sheffield United (A)0-0
Birmingham City
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Dec 6 · at Southampton (A)1-3
- Dec 1 · v Watford (H)2-1
- Nov 26 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Nov 22 · v Norwich City (H)4-1
- Nov 8 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Birmingham City form·Head-to-head record