Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 14 · 15:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 49%
We make it 53% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 43%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers49%44%+6
OursMarket
Draw25%29%−4
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers26%27%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 43% | +10 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 49% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 73% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 56% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 71% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | 61% | +4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
DrawDrawLossWinDraw
- Feb 6 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-0
- Jan 31 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
- Jan 24 · v Wrexham (H)2-3
- Jan 20 · at Oxford United (A)0-0
- Jan 17 · at Stoke City (A)0-0
Blackburn Rovers
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Feb 7 · at Norwich City (A)0-2
- Feb 3 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)1-0
- Jan 31 · v Hull City (H)0-1
- Jan 24 · v Watford (H)1-1
- Jan 20 · at Swansea City (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-4 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Blackburn Rovers form·Head-to-head record