Championship (England) · Sat, Aug 22 · 14:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Bolton Wanderers
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 42%
We make it 63% for both teams to score. The market says 51%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers42%50%−8
OursMarket
Draw23%26%−2
OursMarket
Bolton Wanderers35%25%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 50% | +21 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 51% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 75% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 74% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | 67% | −12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Aug 15 · at Portsmouth (A)3-1
- Aug 8 · v Millwall (H)1-1
- May 2 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-3
- Apr 25 · v Derby County (H)2-3
- Apr 21 · v Swansea City (H)1-2
Bolton Wanderers
WinWinWinLossWin
- Aug 15 · v Preston North End (H)2-1
- Aug 8 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)0-1
- May 24 · v Stockport County (H)4-1
- May 14 · at Bradford City (A)1-0
- May 9 · v Bradford City (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.