Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 31 · 15:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 38%
A 37% home win. The market says 29%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers37%29%+9
OursMarket
Draw25%27%−2
OursMarket
Coventry City38%44%−6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 52% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 57% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 56% | +6 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 71% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 73% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | 39% | +10 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
WinLossDrawDrawLoss
- Jan 24 · v Wrexham (H)2-3
- Jan 20 · at Oxford United (A)0-0
- Jan 17 · at Stoke City (A)0-0
- Jan 11 · at West Ham United (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)3-0
Coventry City
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Jan 26 · at Norwich City (A)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Millwall (H)2-1
- Jan 17 · v Leicester City (H)2-1
- Jan 10 · at Stoke City (A)0-1
- Jan 4 · at Birmingham City (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-5 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Coventry City form·Head-to-head record