Championship (England) · Fri, Feb 14 · 20:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers45%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Derby County27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Feb 11 · at Coventry City (A)0-1
- Feb 4 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Millwall (A)1-2
- Jan 25 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-2
- Jan 21 · at Hull City (A)2-1
Derby County
LossLossLossDrawDraw
- Feb 11 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Feb 8 · at Norwich City (A)1-1
- Feb 1 · v Sheffield United (H)0-1
- Jan 25 · at Cardiff City (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · v Sunderland (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-4 | 0-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Derby County form·Head-to-head record