Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 22 · 15:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Hull City
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 47%
We make it 58% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 50%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers47%45%+3
OursMarket
Draw25%28%−3
OursMarket
Hull City28%27%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 73% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 55% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 62% | +1 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
WinLossLossLossDraw
- Nov 8 · at Sheffield United (A)0-0
- Nov 5 · v Southampton (H)1-2
- Nov 1 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-4
- Oct 25 · at Derby County (A)0-1
- Oct 22 · at Swansea City (A)1-0
Hull City
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Nov 8 · v Portsmouth (H)3-2
- Nov 4 · at Derby County (A)1-2
- Nov 1 · at Norwich City (A)2-0
- Oct 25 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Oct 21 · v Leicester City (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.