Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 20 · 15:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Leicester City
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 54%
A 54% home win. The market says 41%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers54%41%+13
OursMarket
Draw23%27%−5
OursMarket
Leicester City24%32%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 50% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 68% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 59% | −13 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 73% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 56% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Dec 13 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-3
- Dec 9 · v Birmingham City (H)2-1
- Dec 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-1
- Nov 29 · at Norwich City (A)1-3
- Nov 26 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-0
Leicester City
LossLossWinDrawWin
- Dec 13 · v Ipswich Town (H)3-1
- Dec 10 · at Bristol City (A)2-2
- Dec 6 · at Derby County (A)3-1
- Nov 29 · v Sheffield United (H)2-3
- Nov 25 · at Southampton (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Leicester City form·Head-to-head record