Championship (England) · Sat, Sep 19 · 14:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. The market says 55%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers55%55%+1
OursMarket
Draw25%25%0
OursMarket
Preston North End20%21%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 53% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 53% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 79% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | 45% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
WinWinLossDrawDraw
- Sep 12 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Sep 9 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-0
- Sep 5 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-1
- Sep 2 · v Cardiff City (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
Preston North End
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Sep 12 · v Lincoln City (H)0-1
- Sep 8 · at Watford (A)1-2
- Sep 5 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-1
- Sep 1 · v Bristol City (H)1-3
- Aug 29 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 1-1-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record