Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 28 · 15:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 48%
We make it 61% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 53%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers48%28%+20
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−2
OursMarket
Sheffield United28%46%−18
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 53% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 57% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 54% | +18 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 72% | −20 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 38% | +25 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
WinDrawLossWinLoss
- Feb 24 · at Southampton (A)0-5
- Feb 21 · at Hull City (A)3-1
- Feb 14 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)1-3
- Feb 6 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-0
- Jan 31 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
Sheffield United
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 25 · v Coventry City (H)1-2
- Feb 22 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)2-1
- Feb 14 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Feb 9 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-2
- Feb 3 · v Oxford United (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-4 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Sheffield United form·Head-to-head record