Championship (England) · Sun, Jan 4 · 12:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 58%
We make it 57% for both teams to score. The market says 47%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers58%67%−9
OursMarket
Draw21%20%+1
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday21%13%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 53% | +3 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 47% | +10 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 87% | −8 |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | 33% | +9 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 80% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 84% | −11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Jan 1 · v Norwich City (H)1-2
- Dec 29 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-2
- Dec 26 · at Portsmouth (A)1-1
- Dec 20 · v Leicester City (H)4-1
- Dec 13 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-3
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossDrawDrawLoss
- Jan 1 · at Preston North End (A)0-3
- Dec 29 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)0-0
- Dec 26 · v Hull City (H)2-2
- Dec 20 · at Ipswich Town (A)1-3
- Dec 15 · v Derby County (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 0-3-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·Sheffield Wednesday form·Head-to-head record