Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 6 · 15:00 · Queens Park Rangers vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 45%
We make it 50% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 44%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Queens Park Rangers45%39%+6
OursMarket
Draw27%30%−3
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion28%31%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 44% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 69% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | 61% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 70% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 55% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Queens Park Rangers
LossDrawWinWinLoss
- Nov 29 · at Norwich City (A)1-3
- Nov 26 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-0
- Nov 22 · v Hull City (H)3-2
- Nov 8 · at Sheffield United (A)0-0
- Nov 5 · v Southampton (H)1-2
West Bromwich Albion
LossWinLossDrawWin
- Nov 29 · v Swansea City (H)3-2
- Nov 26 · v Birmingham City (H)1-1
- Nov 22 · at Coventry City (A)2-3
- Nov 8 · v Oxford United (H)2-1
- Nov 4 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Queens Park Rangers | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Queens Park Rangers form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record