3rd Division, Group 6 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 17 · 13:00 · Råde vs Brumunddal
Likeliest: Råde win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Råde64%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
Brumunddal16%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 84% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 80% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Råde
WinDrawLossDrawWin
- Oct 12 · at Sandefjord Fotball II (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · at Lyn 1896 FK II (A)0-0
- Sep 26 · v Lillehammer (H)1-5
- Sep 19 · at Fram Larvik (A)1-1
- Sep 12 · v Elverum (H)4-2
Brumunddal
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 10 · at Fram Larvik (A)0-4
- Oct 3 · v Ørn-Horten (H)0-4
- Sep 26 · at Oppsal (A)1-2
- Sep 21 · v Sandefjord Fotball II (H)1-2
- Sep 12 · at Bjoerkelangen (A)4-2
| Last 10 games | Råde | Brumunddal |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 1-1-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-1 | 1-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.