Botola Pro (Morocco) · Sat, Oct 3 · 20:00 · Raja Club Athletic vs Renaissance Zemamra
Likeliest: Raja Club Athletic win · 58%
We make it 49% for both teams to score. The market says 39%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Raja Club Athletic58%67%−9
OursMarket
Draw29%22%+7
OursMarket
Renaissance Zemamra13%11%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 42% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 49% | 39% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 87% | 89% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | 33% | +9 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 78% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | 86% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Raja Club Athletic
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Jul 5 · at Olympic Safi (A)2-0
- Jul 2 · v Hassania d'Agadir (H)2-0
- Jun 28 · at Ittihad Tanger (A)1-1
- Jun 25 · at Union Sportive Yacoub El Mansour (A)1-2
- Jun 21 · v CODM Meknès (H)2-1
Renaissance Zemamra
DrawDrawDrawDrawLoss
- Sep 27 · at MAS de Fès (A)1-2
- Jul 5 · at AS FAR Rabat (A)0-0
- Jul 2 · v Fath Union Sport (H)1-1
- Jun 28 · at Hassania d'Agadir (A)1-1
- Jun 25 · v Olympic Safi (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Raja Club Athletic | Renaissance Zemamra |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.