2. Liga (Austria) · Fri, Sep 11 · 16:30 · Rapid Wien II vs First Vienna
Likeliest: First Vienna win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the away win. The market says 51%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Rapid Wien II23%26%−2
OursMarket
Draw25%24%+1
OursMarket
First Vienna52%51%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | 74% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 31% | 34% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 2.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rapid Wien II
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Aug 30 · at Sturm Graz II (A)2-5
- Aug 22 · v Floridsdorfer AC (H)0-2
- Aug 14 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)2-1
- Aug 8 · v ASK Voitsberg (H)1-3
- Jul 31 · at Admira Wacker (A)1-0
First Vienna
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Aug 28 · v SKU Amstetten (H)1-0
- Aug 21 · at Admira Wacker (A)1-0
- Aug 16 · v FC Liefering (H)2-2
- Aug 8 · at Austria Salzburg (A)1-4
- Aug 1 · v Sturm Graz II (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Rapid Wien II | First Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-3 | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.