2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Aug 22 · 13:30 · Rapid Wien II vs Floridsdorfer AC
Likeliest: Rapid Wien II win · 55%
We make it 68% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 58%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Rapid Wien II55%34%+21
OursMarket
Draw24%25%−2
OursMarket
Floridsdorfer AC21%40%−19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 58% | +11 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 61% | −11 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 60% | +19 |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | 66% | −21 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 75% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | 46% | +26 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rapid Wien II
WinLossWin
- Aug 14 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)2-1
- Aug 8 · v ASK Voitsberg (H)1-3
- Jul 31 · at Admira Wacker (A)1-0
Floridsdorfer AC
WinLossDraw
- Aug 15 · v SKU Amstetten (H)2-2
- Aug 8 · at Sturm Graz II (A)2-4
- Jul 31 · v SKN St. Pölten (H)1-0