Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Dec 6 · 17:30 · RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 41%
A 41% away win. The market says 23%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RB Leipzig36%54%−18
OursMarket
Draw23%23%0
OursMarket
Eintracht Frankfurt41%23%+17
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 65% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | 77% | −17 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 46% | +18 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | 70% | −23 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RB Leipzig
WinLossWinDrawWin
- Dec 2 · v Magdeburg (H)3-1
- Nov 28 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)0-0
- Nov 23 · v Werder Bremen (H)2-0
- Nov 8 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-3
- Nov 1 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)3-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
DrawWinWinLossDraw
- Nov 30 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)1-1
- Nov 26 · v Atalanta (H)0-3
- Nov 22 · at FC Köln (A)4-3
- Nov 9 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)1-0
- Nov 4 · at Napoli (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | RB Leipzig | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-2-1 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
RB Leipzig form·Eintracht Frankfurt form·Head-to-head record