Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Feb 23 · 14:30 · RB Leipzig vs Heidenheim
Likeliest: RB Leipzig win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
RB Leipzig53%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Heidenheim23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RB Leipzig
DrawLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 14 · at FC Augsburg (A)0-0
- Feb 9 · v St. Pauli (H)2-0
- Feb 1 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-0
- Jan 29 · at Sturm Graz (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-2
Heidenheim
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Feb 16 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)0-2
- Feb 13 · at FC København (A)2-1
- Feb 8 · at SC Freiburg (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)1-2
- Jan 25 · at FC Augsburg (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | RB Leipzig | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-2 | 2-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.