Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Feb 9 · 16:30 · RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli
Likeliest: RB Leipzig win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
RB Leipzig54%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
St. Pauli21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RB Leipzig
DrawWinDrawLossDraw
- Feb 1 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-0
- Jan 29 · at Sturm Graz (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-2
- Jan 22 · v Sporting CP (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)3-3
St. Pauli
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Feb 1 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-1
- Jan 26 · v FC Union Berlin (H)3-0
- Jan 18 · at Heidenheim (A)2-0
- Jan 15 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)0-1
- Jan 11 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | RB Leipzig | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-2 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.